2024-12-14 05:41:33
The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)China promised to continue to contribute to the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund. On December 10th, local time, Geng Shuang, Deputy Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, attended the 2025 High-level Pledging Conference of the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund, saying that at present, geopolitical conflicts are constant, natural disasters are frequent, the global humanitarian situation has deteriorated significantly, and humanitarian needs are increasing. The important role of the Central Emergency Response Fund in providing rescue, saving lives and alleviating suffering has further increased. Geng Shuang said that China has always supported the United Nations to play a coordinating role in international humanitarian relief and the Central Emergency Response Fund to carry out its work. Since 2007, voluntary contributions have been made to the Fund every year. In 2024, donations have been completed, and contributions will continue to be made to the Fund in 2025. Geng Shuang said that China has provided long-term humanitarian assistance to countries in need through bilateral channels and in various forms, and will continue to uphold the concept of a community of human destiny, make joint efforts with the international community, and support countries and people in need to cope with the humanitarian crisis and get out of the humanitarian predicament. (CCTV)The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.
The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.Game Station (GME) US stocks rose 5.8% after hours.
Nearly half of the listed securities firms announced the roadmap of improving quality and increasing efficiency. Recently, Capital Securities and two listed securities firms in central china securities successively disclosed the action plan of "improving quality, increasing efficiency and paying more attention to returns" in 2024, and disclosed the company's next plan from many aspects, such as strengthening functional positioning, improving operating quality and enhancing investors' returns. Since Founder Securities announced the action plan of "improving quality, increasing efficiency and paying more attention to returns" in 2024 in April this year, by the time of china securities journal's press release on December 10th, there were 20 A-share listed brokers who announced relevant announcements and carried out relevant actions, accounting for nearly half. Combing the schemes disclosed by brokers, it is found that, while actively responding to the development of financial services to the real economy and new quality productivity, in the face of the competitive environment where industry concentration is expected to be further enhanced and the "Matthew effect" is further intensified, brokers with different characteristics and sizes have also combined their own endowments in their action plans to disclose future differentiated competitive ideas. (CSI)The commander of Syrian democratic forces said that under the mediation of the US, Syrian rebels and Syrian democratic forces reached a ceasefire agreement in the northern city of Mambiji.Market information: US federal judge blocked Kroger's $24.6 billion acquisition of Albertsons.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide